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جستجوی این وبلاگ

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سه‌شنبه ۱۸ مرداد ۱۳۹۰ ه‍.ش.

Strategic passing from Afghanistan


Strategic passing from Afghanistan

By: Razaq Mamoon



West’s position in Afghanistan can be investigated from several directions. At the first glance, west doesn’t have another way except strategic pass from Afghanistan to get to natural storages of central Asia and Iran. At another look, there is no strong reason to stay in Afghanistan. USA and NATO, wants geographic political and economical change in the region. Yet, for Asian controlling such as China, needs the bus of Afghanistan to establish “strategic base”. Based on past history, England gave dearly bus in 19 century. Russia in the latest 20 century could not pass this bus. Pakistan mounted on the Taliban war machine, didn’t make any step to central Asia’s market. But this time, already all of the capitalism system entered in the field.

According to the international communities, Afghanistan is more important than the present government’s politics in Kabul. Every government which comes to the stage or is coming to the stage, have just one way: he must coordinate himself with the international political process. Or there will be another government on. History teaches us that Afghanistan doesn’t have stable chance to become independent. Maybe in the future, a chance should outcome, but in the present situation we should see “independent” with new eye.

The presence of NATO and USA in the country has a relation for the world’s security, world’s economics and world’s management. Or else, the presence of international country here together doesn’t have any justification. From the start of the 21 century, Afghanistan’s position inevitably is important for the big powers. International attentions will not decrease for Afghanistan; but this which the central gravity of big powers attention will change to other countries. International communities will not sacrifice their latest 10 years achieves to Pakistan and Iran’s aims. West never scuttle strategically in any region.

Although a common narrative of the West in Afghanistan according to a systematic international policy is determined but slip on crisis management in Afghanistan, late reactions against threats, confused behavior with the events and ignoring the risks of Iran and Pakistan, made the situation sensitive. West’s cannot ignore that they made a government in the Afghanistan which are now together with the Taliban and crafts of war crimes. This action of west was a negative opportunity that made the democracy’s reinforcement weak.

Collision with time and events in Afghanistan, with determined nature targets, was not consistent. In some cases, west has created gaps which provided interferes for Pakistan and Iran in Afghanistan by the help of “warlords” and “war criminals”. In the latest 10 year, war criminals got stronger between Taliban and inside the government. From the first work, it was necessary for the west to make sure the Afghanistan people for sustainable support. Mentally the people are in doubt that will USA leave them for Iran, Pakistan, Taliban and warlords once again or not? Regional enemies of Afghanistan and USA want to increase this with a negative sense.
When will this waiting politic ends?

After the fall of Taliban’s regime, International community at least could take the forehead of political making, “Criminals”, “Corrupt warlords” and “Smugglers”. Less attention and taking easy, had imported a strong strike order for the system building idea in Afghanistan. Contradiction in international politics, in latest 10 years, hoping for creating political stability and law enforcement has turned to despair. This case is able for discussion that global alliance had overthrown the democratic opposition and human rights from the stage; while the other wing of the government’s mission building was burdened and now it is changed to the strongest challenge against international politics.
It looks like that holding one side of the war and conflict as a pressure force against Taliban in the latest 10 years was not affective. Now, that force is changed to pressure forces against world’s community and Afghanistan benefits and wants to shake hands with regional enemies (Iran and Pakistan). International society government that was created for spending hundreds milliard dollars and strong human causalities in Afghanistan, had mainly authorized for the forces that are calling them as human rights violators, war criminals and perpetrators of corruption democracy in Afghanistan.

This sense is existence that USA had found access to the strategic opportunity (according to time) instead of making balance between “Taliban” and “Anti-Taliban”. War lords and leaders of “Tanzim ha” which had the responsibilities of original internal dead, knows that international society will never investment on them as a trusted force in long-range. They consciously saved their position between the west and the regional powers. This order had guaranteed their survival from one side and by other side, the stable political future of Afghanistan and having a strong political system has been delayed.

World society can create struggling for a healthy alternative and trusted political instead of playing with factions of war and crime. Giving friendship marks for war factions, is a reactionary politics that prevents from development of Afghanistan and maturity of democracy in Afghanistan. Creating a short-range balance, have no result except increasing encounter difficulties between Iran and USA. This is a truth that USA and west are aware of it and pressure forces allies with Iran is getting benefits from this situation.

In a result of contrast and distrust between Kabul and Washington, is decreasing the changes and development of Afghanistan. The presence of west allies, in monitoring on government affairs is losing color. The violation of human rights in the whole country is changed by the daily orders and the kidney of institution which was created for strengthen civic values in the latest 10 years, now it is changed to legitimacy lack institutions and people don’t have trust in these institutions anymore. In between of this, forces and leaders of “Tanzimi” inside the government and also out of the government are feeding from west’s financial facilities and also they traditionally keep active their signals by using financial facilities of Iran, Pakistan, Russia and India. The threat of creating a new kind of dictatorship which only the plaque of “democracy” would be hung in their forehead is getting stronger day by day.

Afghanistan’s survival and good presence of the country in international relations, without any general democracy and partnership in order to develop, learning, politics and regional coexistence is impossible. If international society takes one step back, the scary monster of ethnic war and the leaders of the war and regional mafias will come out. The presence of the international allies without strengthening a based system to the law and loyalty for world’s values and standards will face a scary threat. 

International society in supporting from Afghanistan and world’s benefits should enter in a deal with people’s original representative about creating strategic partnership. Necessarily this sense is existence that international society should help the circles and institutions of democratic between the young’s and healthy minded process in case of making alternative presence government. They must prove this that Afghanistan and west’s benefits, is valuable than the cortex of thousand robbers which have the government in their hands and it causes creating the stability in the region.

Help for bringing “changes” is not the political needs only; it is an inevitable trend. Deadlock in Afghanistan is not the barrier of political and strategic development in Afghanistan only. Continue of this situation, will make international society’s politics face disruption. Holding this deadlock causes international terrorism with the help of regional countries, to be strong again. It is necessary that USA and west, help Afghanistan people to create a new force and political qualifies. Afghanistan’s survival and strategic passing from Afghanistan to the territory of energy, have a relation with this case.